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Trump trumpets trade deal with China that's still terrible for Apple

Tim Cook and Donald Trump in a meeting at the White House in 2018

In an ambiguous post today, President Donald Trump noted that he's close to a deal with China, that's still worse for Apple and the US economy than what was in place before his April tariff program launch.

On Wednesday, Trump took to Truth Social to announce that the U.S. and China were in the process of completing tariff negotiations. According to Trump, the US will receive 55% tariffs, while China will receive 10%, pending approval from both parties.

As part of the deal, China will supply magnets and rare earth materials. In exchange, the U.S. will continue to allow Chinese students to attend American colleges.

Social media post by a verified user discussing a completed deal with China, mentions tariffs, rare earths, and university use. Includes engagement statistics below the message. Trump announces "China Deal" on Truth Social

The situation remains chaotic, but on the surface appears to be a notably worse deal for the US public than what was in place. Prior to the tariff kickoff in April, US companies paid about 15% to import goods from China, with Apple paying notably less than that. Given that importing companies pay the tariffs, not the exporting country, that's gone up to 50% that will need to be paid, and ultimately soaked up by the US public, with no specific deal for Apple given Trump's previous remarks about smartphone imports.

Also, previously, China companies paid about 30% in tariffs importing goods into the US. They will have to pay 10% under the new deal if the President's post is fully accurate.

In April, China halted exports of rare earth minerals and magnets, placing the materials on an export control list. The move effectively stopped the export of the materials out of the country and into others, where they would be used to produce parts and components for various products.

The materials themselves are crucial for major industries — especially in the manufacturing of devices like consumer electronics. The move was seen as punitive, designed to bite back at the Trump Administration for the escalating tariff war.

China produces around 90% of rare earth minerals used globally. This gives it a massive amount of control over the materials, and the ability to use it as a cudgel to attack other countries with, such as the U.S.

The tariff war has had a rippling effect on many companies, including Apple. Recently, Apple's rollout of Apple Intelligence in China hit delays as a direct result of regulatory issues raised in response to President Trump's tariffs.

Apple is expecting a $900 million hit to revenue in the current quarter as a result of the tariff situation.

It's not clear when any deal will be signed.

21 Comments

MassiveAttack 5 Years · 90 comments

Now, it is about time to show that Tim Cook can handle this situation. He screwed up AI. 
Now, he has a massive challenge with supply chain, which is his expert field. 

Too shame that he can´t convince Trump. Even Elon or Jensen could convince Trump to overcome stock crash. AAPL seriously underperforming. Tim Cook seems to have no clue. 

0 Likes · 13 Dislikes
9secondkox2 9 Years · 3531 comments

Sounds good. Trump cares a lot about Apple. gotta get China in line to do the most benefit since Apple seems so cozy there. 

1 Like · 13 Dislikes
Wesley_Hilliard 5 Years · 544 comments

Sounds good. Trump cares a lot about Apple. gotta get China in line to do the most benefit since Apple seems so cozy there. 

Yep, get China in line by making Americans pay more than they ever did for Chinese goods. Great deal. Also awesome that the 10% tariff on American goods means that Chinese customers are likely to look elsewhere for goods. Good for American businesses for sure.

So more expensive goods and less sales for Americans. Art of the deal, as you say.

21 Likes · 1 Dislike
zone 11 Years · 79 comments

Yes, it's a big worry, but give Tim a break. Trump is a moron and impossible to deal with... as far as the AI is concerned, Apple's OS's are complex and full of security. They are doing this the right way, slowly and correctly. However, Wall Street and investors hate this. They want it now!

9 Likes · 1 Dislike
meterestnz 7 Years · 93 comments

zone said:
Yes, it's a big worry, but give Tim a break. Trump is a moron and impossible to deal with... as far as the AI is concerned, Apple's OS's are complex and full of security. They are doing this the right way, slowly and correctly. However, Wall Street and investors hate this. They want it now!

Slowly and carefully might be the way to avoid the pit falls of rapid AI development. The latest news seems to be all about the father of AI and many of his cohorts sounding alarms saying AI is uncontrollability and detrimental to the human race. I was inferred in an interview I watched, that AI is being developed by super computers and not by programmers writing code. Therefore no one knows how it works. 


It would be interesting to know whether Apple’s approach to developing AI is as chaotic and uncontrolled as the other players are accused of being. Apparently there’s a large consortium of major players who are attempting to raise public consciousness of the dangers.

1 Like · 0 Dislikes